Prediction ledger · read-only record
COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP /NEW: Annual revenue, FY2027
Awaiting period endCurrent forecastExperimental · not investment advice
This is the forecast exactly as FinSavoir recorded it when it was issued. Ledger records are append-only: the database refuses edits and deletions, so the prediction, inputs and model below cannot change. Only its status can move on — when the period ends, when results are filed, or when a newer forecast supersedes it.
Forecast
- Prediction ID
e1ea5621-f84d-4989-87fc-24dd60dca6ae- Metric
- Annual revenue as first reported in the company's SEC filing
- Target period
- FY2027 · 1 year ahead · period ends Aug 30, 2027
- Predicted value
- $292.7B
- Prediction interval
- None issued: no interval was issued with this forecast (the evaluation did not support one).
- Issued
- 2026-10-07 10:21 UTC
- Information cutoff
- Only filings made on or before Oct 7, 2026 were used.
Model and data version
- Model
- Damped trend (exponential smoothing) (damped_trend_v1, v1). Holt's exponential smoothing on log revenue with a trend that fades out.
- Configuration
- phi = 0.8, beta = 0.1, alpha = 0.5
- Role today
- challenger, not shown as the reference
- Evaluation protocol
- revenue_walkforward_v2
- Model code
- SHA-256 f0d0f1fa57ec027b… at issue — unchanged since
- Input data
- Data version 2 · normalization v8 · training-data hash 58075d44610ddd25…
Inputs (15 reported years)
| Period | Period end | Reported value | Source filing |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2012 | Sep 2, 2012 | $99.1B | 10-K filed Oct 15, 2014 |
| FY2013 | Sep 1, 2013 | $105.2B | 10-K filed Oct 14, 2015 |
| FY2014 | Aug 31, 2014 | $112.6B | 10-K filed Oct 12, 2016 |
| FY2015 | Aug 30, 2015 | $116.2B | 10-K filed Oct 18, 2017 |
| FY2016 | Aug 28, 2016 | $118.7B | 10-K filed Oct 26, 2018 |
| FY2017 | Sep 3, 2017 | $129.0B | 10-K filed Oct 11, 2019 |
| FY2018 | Sep 2, 2018 | $141.6B | 10-K filed Oct 7, 2020 |
| FY2019 | Sep 1, 2019 | $152.7B | 10-K filed Oct 6, 2021 |
| FY2020 | Aug 30, 2020 | $166.8B | 10-K filed Oct 5, 2022 |
| FY2021 | Aug 29, 2021 | $195.9B | 10-K filed Oct 11, 2023 |
| FY2022 | Aug 28, 2022 | $227.0B | 10-K filed Oct 9, 2024 |
| FY2023 | Sep 3, 2023 | $242.3B | 10-K filed Oct 8, 2025 |
| FY2024 | Sep 1, 2024 | $254.5B | 10-K filed Oct 8, 2025 |
| FY2025 | Aug 31, 2025 | $275.2B | 10-K filed Oct 8, 2025 |
| FY2026 | Aug 30, 2026 | $303.2B | 10-K filed Oct 7, 2026 |
Outcome
Not available yet: The target period has not ended yet.
Supersession
This is the current forecast for this company, model and target period.
It replaced an earlier record: 7f776eba.
Integrity
- Record hash
2ad5932e266c735132eb423fb1ae848d668c3e18e4a0f0eebccd47ea80a9de7f- Recomputation
- recomputed from the stored inputs and configuration with the registered model code → $292.7B.
- Storage
- Append-only table: updates and deletes are rejected by a database trigger.