Prediction ledger · read-only record
Alphabet Inc.: Annual revenue, FY2027
Awaiting period endCurrent forecastExperimental · not investment advice
This is the forecast exactly as FinSavoir recorded it when it was issued. Ledger records are append-only: the database refuses edits and deletions, so the prediction, inputs and model below cannot change. Only its status can move on — when the period ends, when results are filed, or when a newer forecast supersedes it.
Forecast
- Prediction ID
ca1b341a-398a-4d29-945c-ff4f7c3e9540- Company
- Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)
- Metric
- Annual revenue as first reported in the company's SEC filing
- Target period
- FY2027 · 2 years ahead · period ends Dec 31, 2027
- Predicted value
- $400.6B
- Prediction interval
- None issued: no interval was issued with this forecast (the evaluation did not support one).
- Issued
- 2026-10-09 22:54 UTC
- Information cutoff
- Only filings made on or before Feb 5, 2026 were used.
Model and data version
- Model
- Damped trend (exponential smoothing) (damped_trend_v1, v1). Holt's exponential smoothing on log revenue with a trend that fades out.
- Configuration
- phi = 0.8, beta = 0.1, alpha = 0.5
- Role today
- challenger, not shown as the reference
- Evaluation protocol
- revenue_walkforward_v2
- Model code
- SHA-256 f0d0f1fa57ec027b… at issue — unchanged since
- Input data
- Data version 1 · normalization v8 · training-data hash 7d40904252b0a744…
Inputs (13 reported years)
| Period | Period end | Reported value | Source filing |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2013 | Dec 31, 2013 | $55.5B | 10-K filed Feb 11, 2016 |
| FY2014 | Dec 31, 2014 | $66.0B | 10-K filed Feb 3, 2017 |
| FY2015 | Dec 31, 2015 | $75.0B | 10-K filed Feb 6, 2018 |
| FY2016 | Dec 31, 2016 | $90.3B | 10-K filed Feb 6, 2018 |
| FY2017 | Dec 31, 2017 | $110.9B | 10-K filed Feb 6, 2018 |
| FY2018 | Dec 31, 2018 | $136.8B | 10-K filed Feb 3, 2021 |
| FY2019 | Dec 31, 2019 | $161.9B | 10-K filed Feb 2, 2022 |
| FY2020 | Dec 31, 2020 | $182.5B | 10-K filed Feb 2, 2022 |
| FY2021 | Dec 31, 2021 | $257.6B | 10-K filed Feb 2, 2022 |
| FY2022 | Dec 31, 2022 | $282.8B | 10-K filed Feb 5, 2025 |
| FY2023 | Dec 31, 2023 | $307.4B | 10-K filed Feb 5, 2026 |
| FY2024 | Dec 31, 2024 | $350.0B | 10-K filed Feb 5, 2026 |
| FY2025 | Dec 31, 2025 | $402.8B | 10-K filed Feb 5, 2026 |
Outcome
Not available yet: The target period has not ended yet.
Supersession
This is the current forecast for this company, model and target period.
Integrity
- Record hash
e978eb4fcaa57f1e6bd4747bfb737348e7ca0a4ff983c76832c7950a4a8f5112- Recomputation
- recomputed from the stored inputs and configuration with the registered model code → $400.6B.
- Storage
- Append-only table: updates and deletes are rejected by a database trigger.