Prediction ledger · read-only record
MICROSOFT CORP: Quarterly revenue, Q4 FY2027
Awaiting period endCurrent forecastExperimental · not investment advice
This is the forecast exactly as FinSavoir recorded it when it was issued. Ledger records are append-only: the database refuses edits and deletions, so the prediction, inputs and model below cannot change. Only its status can move on — when the period ends, when results are filed, or when a newer forecast supersedes it.
Forecast
- Prediction ID
6aa001ec-1df7-4a6f-9f0f-b0bb583ca118- Company
- MICROSOFT CORP (MSFT)
- Metric
- Quarterly revenue as first reported in the company's SEC filing
- Target period
- Q4 FY2027 · 4 quarters ahead · period ends Jun 30, 2027
- Predicted value
- $106.0B
- Prediction interval
- None issued: no interval was issued with this forecast (the evaluation did not support one).
- Issued
- 2026-10-11 03:05 UTC
- Information cutoff
- Only filings made on or before Jul 29, 2026 were used.
Model and data version
- Model
- Same quarter last year × trailing growth (seasonal_drift_v1, v1). Same quarter a year earlier, scaled by the growth of the last four quarters.
- Configuration
- default
- Role today
- challenger, not shown as the reference
- Evaluation protocol
- revenue_walkforward_v2
- Model code
- SHA-256 a65814c92ab96462… at issue — unchanged since
- Input data
- Data version 1 · normalization v8 · training-data hash fabe861badd336a9…
Inputs (40 reported quarters)
| Period | Period end | Reported value | Source filing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2017 | Sep 30, 2016 | $21.9B | 10-K filed Aug 3, 2018 |
| Q2 FY2017 | Dec 31, 2016 | $25.8B | 10-K filed Aug 3, 2018 |
| Q3 FY2017 | Mar 31, 2017 | $23.2B | 10-K filed Aug 3, 2018 |
| Q4 FY2017 | Jun 30, 2017 | $25.6B | 10-K filed Aug 3, 2018 |
| Q1 FY2018 | Sep 30, 2017 | $24.5B | 10-K filed Aug 1, 2019 |
| Q2 FY2018 | Dec 31, 2017 | $28.9B | 10-K filed Aug 1, 2019 |
| Q3 FY2018 | Mar 31, 2018 | $26.8B | 10-K filed Aug 1, 2019 |
| Q4 FY2018 | Jun 30, 2018 | $30.1B | 10-K filed Aug 1, 2019 |
| Q1 FY2019 | Sep 30, 2018 | $29.1B | 10-K filed Jul 30, 2020 |
| Q2 FY2019 | Dec 31, 2018 | $32.5B | 10-K filed Jul 30, 2020 |
| Q3 FY2019 | Mar 31, 2019 | $30.6B | 10-K filed Jul 30, 2020 |
| Q4 FY2019 | Jun 30, 2019 | $33.7B | 10-K filed Jul 30, 2020 |
| Q1 FY2020 | Sep 30, 2019 | $33.1B | 10-Q filed Oct 27, 2020 |
| Q2 FY2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | $36.9B | 10-Q filed Jan 26, 2021 |
| Q3 FY2020 | Mar 31, 2020 | $35.0B | 10-Q filed Apr 27, 2021 |
| Q4 FY2020 | Jun 30, 2020 | $38.0B | 10-K filed Jul 30, 2020 |
| Q1 FY2021 | Sep 30, 2020 | $37.2B | 10-Q filed Oct 26, 2021 |
| Q2 FY2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | $43.1B | 10-Q filed Jan 25, 2022 |
| Q3 FY2021 | Mar 31, 2021 | $41.7B | 10-Q filed Apr 26, 2022 |
| Q4 FY2021 | Jun 30, 2021 | $46.2B | 10-Q filed Apr 26, 2022 · 10-K filed Jul 27, 2023 |
| Q1 FY2022 | Sep 30, 2021 | $45.3B | 10-Q filed Oct 25, 2022 |
| Q2 FY2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | $51.7B | 10-Q filed Jan 24, 2023 |
| Q3 FY2022 | Mar 31, 2022 | $49.4B | 10-Q filed Apr 25, 2023 |
| Q4 FY2022 | Jun 30, 2022 | $51.9B | 10-Q filed Apr 25, 2023 · 10-K filed Jul 30, 2024 |
| Q1 FY2023 | Sep 30, 2022 | $50.1B | 10-Q filed Oct 24, 2023 |
| Q2 FY2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | $52.7B | 10-Q filed Jan 30, 2024 |
| Q3 FY2023 | Mar 31, 2023 | $52.9B | 10-Q filed Apr 25, 2024 |
| Q4 FY2023 | Jun 30, 2023 | $56.2B | 10-Q filed Apr 25, 2024 · 10-K filed Jul 30, 2025 |
| Q1 FY2024 | Sep 30, 2023 | $56.5B | 10-Q filed Oct 30, 2024 |
| Q2 FY2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | $62.0B | 10-Q filed Jan 29, 2025 |
| Q3 FY2024 | Mar 31, 2024 | $61.9B | 10-Q filed Apr 30, 2025 |
| Q4 FY2024 | Jun 30, 2024 | $64.7B | 10-Q filed Apr 30, 2025 · 10-K filed Jul 29, 2026 |
| Q1 FY2025 | Sep 30, 2024 | $65.6B | 10-Q filed Oct 29, 2025 |
| Q2 FY2025 | Dec 31, 2024 | $69.6B | 10-Q filed Jan 28, 2026 |
| Q3 FY2025 | Mar 31, 2025 | $70.1B | 10-Q filed Apr 29, 2026 |
| Q4 FY2025 | Jun 30, 2025 | $76.4B | 10-Q filed Apr 29, 2026 · 10-K filed Jul 29, 2026 |
| Q1 FY2026 | Sep 30, 2025 | $77.7B | 10-Q filed Oct 29, 2025 |
| Q2 FY2026 | Dec 31, 2025 | $81.3B | 10-Q filed Jan 28, 2026 |
| Q3 FY2026 | Mar 31, 2026 | $82.9B | 10-Q filed Apr 29, 2026 |
| Q4 FY2026 | Jun 30, 2026 | $90.0B | 10-Q filed Apr 29, 2026 · 10-K filed Jul 29, 2026 |
Outcome
Not available yet: The target period has not ended yet.
Supersession
This is the current forecast for this company, model and target period.
Integrity
- Record hash
25fbcf035c4bec101e8ee12eadeb5e58e58491365eb2d958383d101507a4b2a6- Recomputation
- recomputed from the stored inputs and configuration with the registered model code → $106.0B.
- Storage
- Append-only table: updates and deletes are rejected by a database trigger.