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Prediction ledger · read-only record

MICROSOFT CORP: Quarterly revenue, Q3 FY2027

Awaiting period endCurrent forecastExperimental · not investment advice

This is the forecast exactly as FinSavoir recorded it when it was issued. Ledger records are append-only: the database refuses edits and deletions, so the prediction, inputs and model below cannot change. Only its status can move on — when the period ends, when results are filed, or when a newer forecast supersedes it.

Forecast

Prediction ID
4a3356d3-7e59-42a9-acfd-fa9da0ce9a6e
Metric
Quarterly revenue as first reported in the company's SEC filing
Target period
Q3 FY2027 · 3 quarters ahead · period ends Mar 31, 2027
Predicted value
$97.6B
Prediction interval
None issued: no interval was issued with this forecast (the evaluation did not support one).
Issued
2026-10-11 03:05 UTC
Information cutoff
Only filings made on or before Jul 29, 2026 were used.

Model and data version

Model
Same quarter last year × trailing growth (seasonal_drift_v1, v1). Same quarter a year earlier, scaled by the growth of the last four quarters.
Configuration
default
Role today
challenger, not shown as the reference
Evaluation protocol
revenue_walkforward_v2
Model code
SHA-256 a65814c92ab96462… at issue — unchanged since
Input data
Data version 1 · normalization v8 · training-data hash fabe861badd336a9…

Inputs (40 reported quarters)

Reported values the forecast was built from
PeriodPeriod endReported valueSource filing
Q1 FY2017Sep 30, 2016$21.9B10-K filed Aug 3, 2018
Q2 FY2017Dec 31, 2016$25.8B10-K filed Aug 3, 2018
Q3 FY2017Mar 31, 2017$23.2B10-K filed Aug 3, 2018
Q4 FY2017Jun 30, 2017$25.6B10-K filed Aug 3, 2018
Q1 FY2018Sep 30, 2017$24.5B10-K filed Aug 1, 2019
Q2 FY2018Dec 31, 2017$28.9B10-K filed Aug 1, 2019
Q3 FY2018Mar 31, 2018$26.8B10-K filed Aug 1, 2019
Q4 FY2018Jun 30, 2018$30.1B10-K filed Aug 1, 2019
Q1 FY2019Sep 30, 2018$29.1B10-K filed Jul 30, 2020
Q2 FY2019Dec 31, 2018$32.5B10-K filed Jul 30, 2020
Q3 FY2019Mar 31, 2019$30.6B10-K filed Jul 30, 2020
Q4 FY2019Jun 30, 2019$33.7B10-K filed Jul 30, 2020
Q1 FY2020Sep 30, 2019$33.1B10-Q filed Oct 27, 2020
Q2 FY2020Dec 31, 2019$36.9B10-Q filed Jan 26, 2021
Q3 FY2020Mar 31, 2020$35.0B10-Q filed Apr 27, 2021
Q4 FY2020Jun 30, 2020$38.0B10-K filed Jul 30, 2020
Q1 FY2021Sep 30, 2020$37.2B10-Q filed Oct 26, 2021
Q2 FY2021Dec 31, 2020$43.1B10-Q filed Jan 25, 2022
Q3 FY2021Mar 31, 2021$41.7B10-Q filed Apr 26, 2022
Q4 FY2021Jun 30, 2021$46.2B10-Q filed Apr 26, 2022 · 10-K filed Jul 27, 2023
Q1 FY2022Sep 30, 2021$45.3B10-Q filed Oct 25, 2022
Q2 FY2022Dec 31, 2021$51.7B10-Q filed Jan 24, 2023
Q3 FY2022Mar 31, 2022$49.4B10-Q filed Apr 25, 2023
Q4 FY2022Jun 30, 2022$51.9B10-Q filed Apr 25, 2023 · 10-K filed Jul 30, 2024
Q1 FY2023Sep 30, 2022$50.1B10-Q filed Oct 24, 2023
Q2 FY2023Dec 31, 2022$52.7B10-Q filed Jan 30, 2024
Q3 FY2023Mar 31, 2023$52.9B10-Q filed Apr 25, 2024
Q4 FY2023Jun 30, 2023$56.2B10-Q filed Apr 25, 2024 · 10-K filed Jul 30, 2025
Q1 FY2024Sep 30, 2023$56.5B10-Q filed Oct 30, 2024
Q2 FY2024Dec 31, 2023$62.0B10-Q filed Jan 29, 2025
Q3 FY2024Mar 31, 2024$61.9B10-Q filed Apr 30, 2025
Q4 FY2024Jun 30, 2024$64.7B10-Q filed Apr 30, 2025 · 10-K filed Jul 29, 2026
Q1 FY2025Sep 30, 2024$65.6B10-Q filed Oct 29, 2025
Q2 FY2025Dec 31, 2024$69.6B10-Q filed Jan 28, 2026
Q3 FY2025Mar 31, 2025$70.1B10-Q filed Apr 29, 2026
Q4 FY2025Jun 30, 2025$76.4B10-Q filed Apr 29, 2026 · 10-K filed Jul 29, 2026
Q1 FY2026Sep 30, 2025$77.7B10-Q filed Oct 29, 2025
Q2 FY2026Dec 31, 2025$81.3B10-Q filed Jan 28, 2026
Q3 FY2026Mar 31, 2026$82.9B10-Q filed Apr 29, 2026
Q4 FY2026Jun 30, 2026$90.0B10-Q filed Apr 29, 2026 · 10-K filed Jul 29, 2026

Outcome

Not available yet: The target period has not ended yet.

Supersession

This is the current forecast for this company, model and target period.

Integrity

Record hash
e5c65d677d7585820b8e3d78074cda6eb3a85859b8b7558fb7d5a03c1268ee5f
Recomputation
recomputed from the stored inputs and configuration with the registered model code → $97.6B.
Storage
Append-only table: updates and deletes are rejected by a database trigger.

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